If I wanted to "race the race" on Sunday, how fast could I run it? Well, I would say I am in better shape than last year when I ran it in a second fastest PR of 31:13. I've done a lot more miles leading up to this year's race:
|Shamrock 2015||Shamrock 2016||Difference|
|8 weeks prior to the race total||393 miles||543 miles||150 miles|
|Average miles per week||49/mpw||68/mpw|
So in 2016 I've put in exactly 150 miles more in the eight weeks leading up to this race vs. 2015. That makes sense since last year I was only training for a spring half marathon, and this year I've been training for a full marathon. Could I run faster than last year? Maybe, but those extra 150 miles have been at a slower marathon pace, so my legs might lack speed this year. My estimated 8k pace is only 11 seconds slower than my 5k pace (6:09 vs. 5:58). It might be hard to coax that kind of speed out of my legs since they haven't had to run that fast in quite awhile. In fact I haven't run a race this short since July 4th! Bottom line: Last year, I may have had less training, but I had more speedwork which may have been more conducive to a faster Shamrock.
|Shufflin' in 2015|
I guess we shall see if I even have a race strategy on Sunday, or if things stay up in the air and I make pacing decisions on the fly once the starting gun goes off!